UFC Vegas 73 doesn’t have many big names competing, but the card is interesting from a betting perspective. There are plenty of interesting stylistic clashes and I see value on numerous lines.

Here are my UFC Fight Night predictions for the main card.

Michael Johnson vs. Diego Ferreira

Throughout his career, Michael Johnson has been renowned for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. His last-minute loss to Josh Emmett still haunts me as I would’ve received a huge payout if he had won by decision.

Johnson is on a resurgence recently and would be on a three-fight winning streak if his contest with Jamie Mullarkey was scored correctly.

Stylistically, Johnson has a lot of attributes that should cause Diego Ferreira Problems. He has good lateral footwork, fast hands, strong first layer takedown defense and sharp countering ability.

In his fight with Alan Patrick, you can hear Henri Hooft imploring Johnson to hold the center of the octagon and he must do the same in this fight.

I expect Johnson to get off to a good start, but he is in major trouble if he ends up flat on his back against a world-class BJJ player at any time in the fight. This could mean he needs a knockout or has to fight the perfect fight for fifteen minutes in order to win a decision.

Ferreira is good at cutting off the octagon and applying heavy boxing pressure. He is adept at scoring takedowns against the fence and is fantastic in transition.

However, there are some red flags with the Brazilian.

He took the fight against Mateusz Gamrot with an injured rib and couldn’t afford to pull out. His fight with Drakkar Klose was also canceled due to an undisclosed injury and has been on the sidelines for a year and a half in his late thirties.

As a handicapper, it’s difficult to quantify potential injuries and mileage on the body – but it wouldn’t surprise me if Ferreira shows up in a diminished state this weekend.

You can make a case for both fighters, but Michael Johnson is the side that interests me for a potential bet at +140.

Andre Fialho vs. Joaquin Buckley

Andre Fialho had an impressive start to his UFC career, but has been exposed in his last two fights.

The Portuguese athlete has good boxing for MMA. He throws well in combination and has a nasty left hook and uppercut.

However, he lacks head movement, slows down after the first round and has a questionable ground game.

He will have opportunities to find the knockout against an over-aggressive opponent in Joaquin Buckley – but I worry for Fialho if the fight gets extended.

Buckley has a good work rate and is now fighting at his natural weight class. He likes to bob and weave into range and fire heavy artillery from the southpaw stance.

He mixes his kicks in with his punches effectively and has underrated wrestling, which might come in handy here. I also expect Buckley to rip body shots underneath the high guard of Fialho.

Joaquin Buckley has been lined at -210 and that feels about right to me. This is personally a fight I’ll be looking to live bet.

Emily Ducote vs. Lupita Godinez

I’ve enjoyed watching Emily Ducote over the years in Invicta FC and I’m glad she’s finally here in the UFC.

Ducote is a well-rounded athlete with sharp boxing, good defensive wrestling and a black belt in BJJ.

She struggled with the footwork, angles and more sophisticated striking repertoire of Angela Hill – but can hold her own on the feet against most strawweights. Her left hook, right straight and low kicks will be useful weapons in this fight.

Like her opponent, Lupita Godinez is a well-rounded mixed martial artist and comes from a wrestling background. The Mexican fighter shoots a well-timed double leg in open space and has good trips and throws from the clinch.

On the feet, Godinez is a junkyard dog. She comes forward and throws leather, although she is hittable and may struggle to get her wrestling going in this fight.

It’s worth noting that Godinez is on short notice and has slowed down in previous fights.

I’m expecting a closely fought contest and I see some value on Emily Ducote at +130.

Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Anthony Hernandez

After setting his sights on becoming the youngest champion in UFC history, Edmen Shahbazyan was brought back to reality with a string of brutal losses.

After joining Xtreme Couture and taking out a tailor-made opponent in Dalcha Lungiambula, Shahbazyan looks to keep momentum rolling.

Shahbazyan has plenty of positive attributes. He is blessed with natural power, fast hands and good takedown defense.

However, his cardio has let him down time after time.

Even against Lungiambula, he was breathing heavily after the first round and that was a low paced encounter.

He is young and has plenty of time to improve, but he may find himself in deep waters if he’s unable to find the finish in the first round and a half.

Anthony Hernandez is wild on the feet and leaves himself open defensively. His striking is good enough to set up takedowns and “Fluffy” is absolutely relentless in getting the fight to the mat.

He will shoot and re-shoot when his opponent is against the fence and is a bona fide finisher once the fight is horizontal

Hernandez is renowned of weaponizing his cardio and should have his way with Shahbazyan if he can weather the early storm.

I understand why Anthony Hernandez is the favorite, but -225 looks wide to me. I don’t blame anyone for taking a stab on the underdog.

Angela Hill vs. Mackenzie Dern

Angela Hill is getting a bit long in the tooth, but her recent performances have been her best. The Alliance MMA product has always been a skilled striker, but she has improved her cardio and defensive grappling in recent years.

She is much better at stuffing shots and scrambling back to her feet compared to her earlier fights and this is the exact type of opponent she needs to overcome to prove herself as a contender.

Conversely, Mackenzie Dern hasn’t shown much progression since joining the UFC.

She marches forward, throws with reckless abandon and has a phenomenal ground game – but she hasn’t refined her overall skill set whatsoever.

Her ability to tie opponents up in knots and chain submission attempts together is awesome to watch, but she lacks the wrestling to compliment her ground game and her striking is still a mess.

Dern is capable of submitting any female strawweight, but she will struggle to win rounds if she can’t get the fight to the mat.

This is not a fight I have a strong read on, but Angela Hill to win by decision is the line that stands out to me at +210.